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Where have all the new duplexes gone?

elaineuang
Aug 4
3 min read

Updated: Sep 18

Ah the humble duplex. Two homes for the look of one. Twice the security & opportunity on a single lot.  Nurturing American icons like:

  • Michelle Obama grew up on the top floor of a Chicago duplex owned by her aunt.  

  • Bob Dylan lived the first six years of his life on the second floor of a Duluth duplex

  • Hewlett Packard was born in a garage behind a Palo Alto duplex that David Packard and his wife rented from a widow.


Left to right: Michelle Obama's childhood home in Chicago, Bob Dylan's first home in Duluth,  Palo Alto duplex where David Packard lived, with HP garage in the back
Left to right: Michelle Obama's childhood home in Chicago, Bob Dylan's first home in Duluth, Palo Alto duplex where David Packard lived, with HP garage in the back

Duplexes make wonderful homes and neighbors. They blend seamlessly into existing neighborhoods, and support many different households, lifestyles, incomes. Yet in the last 60 years, nationally, the number of new 2-4 units home starts has dropped dramatically: 

Housing Starts

April 1964

April 2025

1,448,000

1,400,000

901,000

953,000

105,000

18,000

442,000

429,000


In April 1964 and April 2025, the numbers for total, single family, and 5+ units housing starts were largely the same.  But the numbers for 2-4 unit homes fell by 80%!  The trend over the last 60 years is stark. During the 1960s and 1970s, the number of 2-4 family home starts varied (40,000-120,000 per year), but starting in the 1980s, 2-4 unit home starts plummeted sharply. They flatlined in the 1990s (~40,000 per year), fell again during the Great Recession and flatlined at a lower baseline (<20,000 per year) from 2010. (See all FRED housing data)


Annotations are mine, diagrammed over a screenshot of FRED St. Louis Federal Reserve's 2-4 unit home starts graph: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/HOUST2F
Annotations are mine, diagrammed over a screenshot of FRED St. Louis Federal Reserve's 2-4 unit home starts graph: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/HOUST2F

Why does this matter today?  

2-4 family homes are physically similar to single-family residences (SFRs) and virtually indistinguishable. My block has 4 duplex and 2 quadplex buildings, yet my friends think I live in a single family neighborhood.  During a recent block party, I met some wonderful people, a young architect, an engineer developing drones, a writer with college kids. Looking back over the years, we've had many lovely neighbors - young couples, post-docs, chefs, nurses, entrepreneurs.

Both SFRs and 2-4 family buildings are typically light, wood framed structures (Type V construction in building code speak), so they are the easiest and cheapest to construct. This is why 2-4 family buildings are especially relevant now.  At 1-2 stories, they don’t have different structural, plumbing, mechanical requirements than SFRs. Contractors don’t need specialized labor and consultants. Utility hookups (electrical, water, sewer, storm) are about the same capacity and volume of a single family home. With SF Bay Area construction costs puncturing the $500/sf threshold, 2-4 family unit homes are the most cost effective and straightforward ways for cities to add diverse housing stock incrementally, especially near downtowns and commercial corridors.

Duplexes, triplexes and quadplexes provide more housing options for a wider range of households and incomes. They are naturally affordable housing options for people of all ages and situations:
  • Young professionals needing space to starting their careers

  • New families who want to live with community for convenience

  • Empty nesters with active lifestyles looking to downsize

  • Multiple generations looking to live with each other

  • Owning a duplex or triplex can provide residents with regular income to stay in their community


We all know there is a housing shortage in California and the Bay Area. While a lot of new legislation has increased accessory dwelling units (ADUs) or removed barriers to mid-rise (50-100+unit) multifamily projects along transit and commercial corridors, these tools don't address the decline of 2-4 unit small multifamily housing. More specific interventions need to be put in place to incentivize 2-4 unit multifamily buildings in a big way.
Without duplexes, Hewlett and Packard might not have been able to develop the technology that launched their company, Bob Dylan's might not have honed his poetic and musical talents, Michelle Obama's may not have accessed her educational and professional potential. To continue nurturing the artists, inventors, leaders and businesses of tomorrow, we need to mobilize for more duplexes (as well as triplexes and quadplexes).
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